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Ocean contamination plumes modelled by Toulouse university for IAEA

Fukushima  plume modelling was conducted by Toulouse university using their three dimensional SIROCCO models.  See the article here which has animated models of dispersion over time.

Animations of various variables characterizing the ocean state are presented : surface temperature, salinity and current beginning on March 9, two days before the tsunami. The animation finishes by a few days of forecast

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"It is inconceivable that a severe accident could actually occur" – origin of the safety myth

“If we even mentioned there was a slight possibility that nuclear plants were dangerous, antinuclear advocates pushed for shutting every plant down,” he said. “So, we just kept on declaring the plants were safe.”       – former actich chair of the Atomic Energy Commission

Safety vows forgotten, ‘safety myth’ created 15.06.2011 – NUCLEAR CRISIS: HOW IT HAPPENED – part 5 of Yomiuri series

Shunichi Tanaka, former acting chairman of the Atomic Energy Commission, said people in the nuclear industry were always on guard.”If we even mentioned there was a slight possibility that nuclear plants were dangerous, antinuclear advocates pushed for shutting every plant down,” he said. “So, we just kept on declaring the plants were safe.”This combination of overconfidence and trapping themselves with their own words gradually built up the “safety myth” of nuclear power plants.”You can take all kinds of possible situations into consideration, but something ‘beyond imagination’ is bound to take place, like the March 11 tsunami,” said the former plant operator. “The possibility of a worst-case scenario should have been assumed, and there should have been a reliable system in place with proper training to keep damage to a minimum.”-snip-The “safety myth” of the nation’s nuclear plants lay behind this failure to fully implement preparations for severe accidents.Safety inspection guidelines the NSC revised in 1990 said, “We do not need to take into account the danger of a long-term power severance, as we could anticipate recovery of power transmission lines and emergency generators in a short period of time.”The first sentence of a TEPCO report from March 1994 on action to be taken in the event of a serious accident said, “Our country’s nuclear power plants have attained a high degree of safety from a global point of view.”The report emphasized, “It is inconceivable that a severe accident could actually occur.” The report seemed to imply that efforts to prevent an “inconceivable” accident would be a waste of time and energy.

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T110614004853.htm

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34,000 children to be given dosimeters in Fukushima city

note: see here for  a rough map of cesium contamination from an aerial survey Fukushima city is in the northwest of the plume.

Tuesday, June 14, 2011   City plans fall distribution to address parents’ fears34,000 children in Fukushima to get dosimeters

Kyodo  FUKUSHIMA — Amid growing concerns over exposure to radiation, the Fukushima Municipal Government said Tuesday it will give dosimeters to all children attending preschools as well as elementary and junior high schools in the city.The city said it will hand out the gauges for three months from September to about 34,000 children as part of its efforts to ensure their health. — snip–

http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bin/nn20110614x2.html

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Another 23 workers possibly exposed to internal radiation over 100mSv

Additional 23 workers exposed to high radiations

The health ministry says that another 23 workers at the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant may have been exposed internally to over 100 millisieverts of radiation.

The ministry on Tuesday told plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Company to immediately release the workers from duty.

The ministry said keeping the employees at the plant may push their exposure over the temporary-set limit of 250 millisieverts. The government relaxed the limit for plant workers from 100 millisieverts after the nuclear accident in March as an emergency measure.

The ministry also instructed TEPCO to have the 23 workers undergo medical exams.

TEPCO previously announced that 2 employees were exposed to over 600 millisieverts. On Monday, the firm said that 6 more workers were thought to have been exposed to up to about 500 millisieverts.

TEPCO is screening about 3,700 workers at the plant for exposure. The tests for about 600 have not been completed.

The ministry is urging the firm to finish the tests by June 20th and submit the results.

Tuesday, June 14, 2011 13:37 +0900 (JST)

 

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Nuclear plant safety standards may be thrown out

failed standards:   quake was 25% over max expected, despite 60% increase in 2006;  meltdown never expected;  radiation release is 100 times max expected;  10km  max evacuation zone was expected;  external power and backups would not both fail;

Nuclear plant safety standards rendered useless by quake

The government is being pressured to just throw out its safety standards for nuclear power plants and go back to the drawing board…

Therefore, openings of new plants that are currently under construction or in the planning stages are expected to be drastically delayed.

In mid-May, Nuclear Safety Commission chairman Haruki Madarame said that the government would review current safety standards that state that it is not necessary to consider situations in which all sources of electricity are lost at a plant.

“Honestly speaking, it was found at this time that the safety standards have defects. They are apparently wrong,” he said.

The government also included the review in the report it submitted to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on June 7.

The safety standards consist of about 60 items, all of which are decided by the safety commission. They range from standards on locations and designs of nuclear power plants to basic policies on disaster prevention measures.

Electric power companies have to pass the government’s examinations based on the safety standards to receive permission for construction of new power plants or expansion of their current facilities.

If the safety standards are “apparently wrong” as Madarame said, the government cannot conduct examinations. Therefore, there is a high possibility that the government cannot issue permission for new construction or expansions for the time being.

In the current nuclear crisis at the Fukushima No. 1 plant, multiple protection measures that constitute the basics to secure safety of nuclear power plants were quickly rendered useless one after another.

“In the current crisis, several abnormalities took place simultaneously. It overturned the idea that the possibility is extremely low that troubles unrelated to each other can occur at the same time,” said former safety commission chairman Kazuo Sato.

For example, the current safety standards do not take into account a situation in which all sources of electricity are lost. That is because the resumption of electric power across transmission lines or repair of emergency electric sources are expected, the standards state.

In the current crisis in Fukushima, however, neither was restored.

Other safety standards were also found to be defective. The tremor that struck the Fukushima No. 1 plant was about 25 percent larger than that assumed possible under the new safety standards, which were introduced in 2006.

The tremor imagined in the 2006 safety standards had been 60 percent larger than that assumed in the previous standards. In spite of that, the new standards were still insufficient.

In the current safety standards, the evacuation areas are assumed to be those within a radius of about 10 kilometers. In the on-going crisis, however, the evacuation areas have been expanded to districts beyond 30 kilometers.

In the present crisis, the total amount of radioactive iodine released from the No. 1, No. 2 and No. 3 reactors of the Fukushima plant is about 150,000 terabecquerels. Tera is one trillion times. In the safety standards, however, the assumed maximum amount is one-hundredth of that amount or lower.

In the Fukushima crisis, nuclear fuel rods melted down and accumulated at the bottom of pressure vessels in some reactors. However, the safety standards did not address the possibility of a meltdown.

It took five years for the government to revise the safety standards to the new ones in 2006 from the start of discussions. If the government implements an all-out review of the 2006 ones, it may take much longer.

http://www.asahi.com/english/TKY201106130047.html

 

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Nuclear bureaucrats seek control of cabinet's accident investigation panel

Moves by METI energy mandarins associated with the nuclear industry were rejected by the prime minister, but Kan’s upcoming resignation and legal loopholes may yet give them more power.

METI tried to gain influence over Fukushima panel

BY SHINJI MURAMATSU STAFF WRITER

2011/06/12

A push by bureaucrats associated with the nuclear industry to increase their influence over the government-appointed panel investigating the accident at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant was rebuffed by Prime Minister Naoto Kan.

The Kan Cabinet decided May 24 to establish the panel to investigate the nuclear disaster and placed it under the Cabinet Secretariat. That decision limited the influence of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), which oversees nuclear policy and Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO), the operator of the Fukushima No. 1 plant.

But, on June 6, the nuclear establishment pushed back. The National Policy Unit, which is part of the Cabinet Secretariat but is made up of bureaucrats from the various central government ministries, produced a document titled “Regarding a revolutionary energy and environment strategy.”

The unit, which is heavily influenced by METI officials when considering matters related to energy policy, proposed placing the accident panel as well as the Japan Atomic Energy Commission under the guidance of an energy and environment committee to be established under the Council on the Realization of the New Growth Strategy.

The National Policy Unit would serve as the secretariat for the committee and Banri Kaieda, the METI minister, would be the committee’s deputy chairman. Masayuki Naoshima, a former METI minister, and Yosuke Kondo, a former vice minister at METI, would sit on it and METI officials would be dispatched to work for its secretariat.

Kan discussed the proposal with Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano and others on June 7 and agreed to reject the proposal.

In a June 7 document distributed by the Council on the Realization of the New Growth Strategy, all references to the accident panel were deleted and the names of Naoshima and Kondo were removed from the energy and environment committee that was established that day.

The document also stated that a new committee would be established to look into whether the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency should be separated from METI.

The document said discussions within the new committee looking into separating NISA should take into consideration the results of an assessment of the assets and financial condition of TEPCO to be conducted by a separate committee looking into TEPCO’s management and financial condition.

The decision by Kan to reject the National Policy Unit proposal may only be a temporary setback for METI.

In the rush to establish the panel, its legal status was left ambiguous. No legislation passed to establish it as an independent body.

That leaves open the possibility of METI officials renewing their push for control of the panel. With Kan expected to step down in the near future, the energy mandarins may still have their way.

via asahi.com(朝日新聞社):METI tried to gain influence over Fukushima panel – English.

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Six more workers over-exposed up to 497 mSv at Fukushima

Six up to 497 mSv.  Six others received doses of between 200 and 250 mSv, and 88 were exposed to between 100 and 200 millisieverts.

 

Growing exposure problems at Fukushima

The health and labor ministry says six other workers at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant may have received radiation doses above the allowable emergency level. –snip–.

The ministry says the provisional amount of radiation exposure was up to 497 millisieverts for each of six TEPCO male employees. The maximum allowable dose was formerly 100 millisieverts, but it was raised to 250 after the crisis started.

One of the men was working in the control center, while the other five were performing maintenance work.

Six additional workers received doses of between 200 and 250 millisieverts, and 88 were exposed to between 100 and 200 millisieverts.

The ministry has instructed the utility to have the workers undergo thorough examinations, saying it is regrettable that so many workers have received such high doses.

In late May, two TEPCO employees on duty at Reactors No. 3 and 4 were confirmed as having received doses more than twice the emergency limit.

Monday, June 13, 2011 20:57 +0900 (JST)

via NHK WORLD English.

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Japan blindly believed it's nuclear plants "were the safest in the world" – industry minister

When asked why the government failed to act on tsunami warnings, industry minister Banri Kaieda said his ministry had blindly believed Japan’s nuclear plants “were the safest in the world.”
(Jun. 12, 2011) http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T110611002697.htm

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Government, TEPCO brushed off warnings from all sides. "This crisis at the power plant is not a natural disaster. It is a man-made disaster,"

How it happened: 4th part of Yomiuri’s   series is about tsunami warnings: Government, TEPCO brushed off warnings from all sides.  Well worth reading

excerpts: It is now clear the government and Tokyo Electric Power Co. did not learn from history….  Robert Geller, a professor at the University of Tokyo and an expert in seismology, said that if TEPCO and the government had referred to the study of the National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, they might have increased the size of tsunami they thought the Fukushima plant might encounter. The government and TEPCO should have taken the risk of tsunami more seriously, he added. “This crisis at the power plant is not a natural disaster. It is a man-made disaster,” Geller said.

Before March 11, scholars had repeatedly warned at academic conferences and other occasions that a massive tsunami could hit the Tohoku region in the future.However, the government’s Central Disaster Management Council and TEPCO never factored such studies into their estimates of the damage that earthquakes and tsunami could cause to nuclear power plants….

A former TEPCO executive once said: “Tsunami are a threat to ria coasts, such as the Sanriku coast. However, they’re not a threat to straight coasts, such as the one where the Fukushima No. 1 power plant is located.”
Another report by the organization (JNES) released last year predicted that if all power sources were lost due to an earthquake, fuel rods will begin melting after only 100 minutes. This report said a reactor’s containment vessel would be damaged after about seven hours and a large amount of radioactive material would be released into the air.
But one TEPCO official said, “We prioritized preparing for high-probability incidents, so we couldn’t respond to everything.”

Wataru Sugiyama, a lecturer on nuclear power safety at Kinki University’s Atomic Energy Research Institute, said, “From a cost-performance perspective, it’s difficult to prepare for low-probability disasters and prevent all accidents.
Construction had not been completed by the time the March 11 tsunami struck, but a finished section on the south side of the Tokai plant protected a seawater-intake pump needed to cool an emergency diesel power generator, which prevented a complete loss of power at the plant.

“Workers at the plant thought from before the quake that there was a risk all power could be lost if a tsunami flooded the emergency power generators,” according to one TEPCO employee who has worked as an operator at the Fukushima No. 1 plant.

But a former TEPCO executive who is now an adviser to the firm said, “If there was a risk of losing all power, why didn’t workers present their views at board meetings? It’s really too bad.”
When asked why the government failed to act on tsunami warnings, industry minister Banri Kaieda said his ministry had blindly believed Japan’s nuclear plants “were the safest in the world.”
(Jun. 12, 2011) http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T110611002697.htm

Posted in doubtful assurances, incompetence, tsunami warnings ignored - not \'unforseen natural disaster\' | Leave a comment